Friday, June 7, 2013

How Many Ways Can You Say " This horse CAN'T LOSE?"

He’s a lead pipe cinch
He’s an international cinch
He’ll run off the screen
He’ll run off the charts
He’ll air
He’ll romp
He’ll win with his ears pricked
He’ll win by daylight
He’ll be long gone
He’s a single
He's "live"
He can win tied to the gate

It’s like money in the bank
E-Z money

It’s off the charts
It’s a gimme
It’s a cakewalk
It’s a piece of cake
It’s a walk in the park
It’s a free square
It’s no contest
It’s a sure thing
It’s a good thing
It’s a lock
It’s a mortal lock
It’s a slam dunk
It’s a shoe-in
It’s a foregone conclusion
Not a straw in his path
From footfall to that’s all
From Flagpole to finish
By a pole
Katy, bar the door.

Of course I’m talking about Point of Entry in the 141st edition of the Grade 1, $500,000 Woodford Reserve Manhattan, this Saturday, Belmont Day, going a mile and a quarter on the Widener Turf Course.
According to his trainer, Shug Mc Gaughey, he is training better than ever and “is about as good as a horse can get” (Notice his back-to-back bullets on turf)
The Phipps homebred, by Dynaformer, out of Matlatcha Pass, by Seeking the Gold has had a freshening since his Feb win in a Grade 1 at Gulfstream over World Cup/Derby winner Animal Kingdom. There’s not another horse in this race that has won even one Grade 1!
This, horse racing fans, is a huge “class-edge.”

But this is horseracing and anything can happen.

The forecast is calling for rain and the turf course could be less than firm. While it is not his favorite footing, Point of Entry has won on yielding turf, AT BELMONT, in the Turf Classic, last year going a mile and a half.

And even IF some horse jumps up and runs the race of his life, it is my opinion that this race still belongs to Point of Entry. Even WITH the little, rumored “foot issue” he has in one hind foot. Seriously, he only needs 3 good feet to beat this bunch.
He’s the key horse in any exotics. If you are looking for something long to fool around with, I would take a little look at the now gelded, Bombaguia, with a ML of 15-1. Since “the biggest equipment change of all”, his numbers have been good and improving in his both starts this year. With a troubled trip in his last, he still ran a huge race. The distance will suit and he gets in light, getting 9 lbs from the favorite.

Many Thanks to ThoroFan and the Handicapping Corner for giving me the opportunity to analyze a few big turf races every year. I especially had fun writing this post, and would love to hear from the fans with any additions to this list.

Good luck to Point of Entry.  I am a huge fan and I hope the Racing Gods are with me on this one.