Thursday, May 5, 2011

Early Morning Flight, Early Derby Picks

I will be taking off on a 6 a.m. flight tomorrow headed for Louisville with my Racing Form in hand. Plenty of time for more studying, not sure it will help, but this is what we do!

I am excited about being at my first Kentucky Oaks. And while I take it all in tomorrow, I will probably change my mind more than a few times about who I bet, and how I bet, in the Derby on Saturday. But I have at least narrowed it down somewhat.

I will not be using Uncle Mo if he runs. I doubt that he will, but if he does, and he wins, so be it. It is just obvious to me that he is not 100%.

As for Dialed In, I have only recently been interested in him, because I can’t understand the lack of works in the last five weeks. But I guess you have to trust Nick Zito on that one. What I do like about him, when I finally got a good look at him in several videos, is that , though he is not a big horse, he stands over a lot of ground. And I like that in a horse. Will I use him? I suppose….

I have been a big fan of Oatsee’s son, Shackleford. He has been training up a storm and looks great by all accounts. Will he get the distance? Big question, but the breeding on the dam’s side says “yes he can”. And a win over the track doesn’t hurt.

There is no more consistent horse than Much Macho Man. I love that in a horse. He will show up and he will try, no matter what.

I think Santiva deserves respect. He has a win over the track at Churchill. And he had nowhere to go in the Blue Grass. He’s a maybe.

I will give Brilliant Speed a look too. It could just be that his earlier races on dirt were not productive because they were sprints. Dynaformer is certainly not just a “grass” sire, but he does sire horses that need to run long. He has won on two surfaces, why not dirt too?

And then there’s ArchArchArch. He should love the distance and Jon Court is in ‘the zone” with 3 wins today at Churchill. The momentum could keep on going.

Good luck to all who wager. It’s a day when you can bet little and win big!

Enjoy the great racing and safe trips to all our equine friends!

1 comment:

  1. Rooting for Arch for Jon Court's sake. Also been saying for weeks that Mo won't show, gotta protect what's left of that stud value.

    Have fun, Sue. I say go to the Derby as well. Just get there early and plan on a crowd twice as big as the BC.

    Best of luck. Your N.A.I.H.L. teammates will be in Saratoga.