Saturday, July 9, 2011

Arlington Million Preview Day

There's lots of great racing all around the country today. Here are some of my thoughts on races 8-9-10 at Arlington.

The Modesty Gr.3 ( 1 &3/16ths TURF )

How can you bet against Wasted Tears? This mare is so game on the front end and with 12 wins from 19 starts you know she puts it on the line every time. She is the lone speed, but this is a distance she has never tried before. It will be a test to her determination and will to win. This is a group of nice fillies and there are a couple in here that might actually want more ground and will get it today. My Baby Bay can lay up close, and no one is bred any better for the distance than Fantasia. But they both have to get by the very tenacious Wasted Tears.

The American Derby Gr. 2 ( 1 & 3/16ths TURF )

It’s no secret that Wilcox Inn has been a blog favorite since last year’s BC Juvenile on Turf. This is a new distance for every horse in here, so the question is, who will be victorious? I will stick with Wilcox inn as his pedigree is loaded with distance loving turf horses. He has had a win over the track, with blinkers added, and though he speed figures aren’t the highest, that will probably mean his price might be right.

The Arlington Handicap Gr 3 ( 1 & ¼ TURF )

This race is a bit of a puzzle to me, but the fact that Dean’s Kitten was asked to run this distance as a 3 year old, twice last year, tells me that this is what they always had in mind for him. Though not successful he didn’t disgrace, and ran with some nice ones. He has rounded to form nicely this year and I look for him to sit a good trip. The only thing I like about the German horse Senagus, is that he is dropping 27 pounds from his last race! Even with his many wins, notice his earnings don’t add up to much and while the addition of Lasix might help, he’s not my type of horse. If he beats me, he beats me. Can Juniper Pass hold his form, racing out of California? Not sure about that. Proceed Bee appears overmatched, but going back to the turf, which may be his preferred surface. I have always liked this over achiever and he has a longshot look.

These three races make up an All Graded Stakes Pick 3. Good luck and have fun if you are playing.


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