Thursday, May 3, 2012

Fillies First

Oaks Day is here, and it’s lilies for the fillies.
Here’s my quick look at the $1,000,000 Kentucky Oaks.
It’s a full field and wide open.

On Fire Baby – 2 for 2 at Churchill, 2nd time Lasix, but does she want the extra distance?

Grace Hall – Already an Oaks winner at the distance and has a Grade 1 at Saratoga to boot. Was 2nd at Churchill last year. The deserving morning line fave.

Summer Applause - Harlan’s Holiday filly, coming in with a bullet and will love the added distance. (Is she really 15 to 1?)

Eden’s Moon – Baffert speedball from the West Coast.

Hard Not to Like – first time dirt

Broadway’s Alibi – A length from being undefeated in 5 starts. She is the speed of the speed and would love it wet.

Sacristy – One for one at Churchill, but will she stretch out?

Jemima’s Pearl – Has been Bodemeister’s workmate while at Churchill.

Believe You Can – Larry knows his fillies and has the Rosie factor.

And Why Not – yes, and why not? Talented filly put a line through last.

Karlory Vale – may have turned the corner, but is dirt her game?

Colonial Empress – great pedigree, but form shows nothing.

Amie’s Dini – a win over the track, very consistent, has some class

Yara – beat the chalk, but distance may be a problem

Summer Applause could be the one that benefits from the speed dual up front. Lots of speed in here which could set the race up for a filly who can relax and wait.

Broadway’s Alibi is legit speed and could take them all the way.

And Why Not may have grown into herself this year, and if she puts it all together could be a big threat.

Have a great Oaks Day!

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