Saturday, July 10, 2010

Weather or Not ?

If you live on the East Coast and you are looking at the weather forecast today, it is probably saying "chance of showers/thunderstorms" throughout the day.  You hear this pretty much, every day through the summer months. So now you may be thinking hmm...Is the weather ( or change in track condition) going to affect my wagering today? Well, first let me say,your best bet is to stay tuned into whatever format you will be wagering from ( if you are NOT on track) to get an accurate read on current weather and track conditions. Things can change fast , from one race to another, even from post parade to starting gate. And though you never want  to get shut out, and like to wager early, sometimes if the weather looks "iffy" you may want to wait. Right now it's raining in Delaware, Monmouth is cloudy with chance of heavy thunderstorms, and Belmont has an 80% chance of heavy rain.
My best bet today is Trappe Shot in the Long Branch at Monmouth. I have been so looking forward to this, since his eye-catching performance on the Belmont undercard. And if the track is wet, all the better. Anything out of a Private Account mare should have no problem, no let me change that, should "move up" on an off track.The "two-turns" is the question he will have to answer today.
Two other horses that I will be rooting for today, should not have any trouble should the track be anything but fast or firm. Though Blind Luck has never run on a wet track, according to the Racing Form, she is by Pollard's Vision, who is by Carson City. Another wet track sire. And if my memory serves me well, I think Pollard's Vision won in the mud, ( Don't quote me on that one)
I doubt that whatever kind of weather shows up in Elmont ,New York will have much effect on the turf course there. I'm thinking that it is rock hard from all the heat we have had here in the East, and it could use some rain. I am looking for Gio Ponti to get a good trip to win the Man O War. He was steadied sharply in the Manhatten , and  being down on the inside I don't think he ever saw Winchester coming. 
So the weather ( or not) will not alter my wagering plans today. Good luck and safe trips to all.


  1. Thanks for the tip. I think I'll put in a play for Trappe Shot in my contest. ;-)

  2. I agree Gio is the one to beat in the Man O' War, but Grand Couturier should like a little cut in the grass. Yes, we need rain!

  3. To The Knight Sky and Steve,
    Thanks for visiting!
    Good luck to both of you, bet a little and win a lot!